The Great Escape

[Boz]

we drew at brighton last season and look at their home form this year. We won at colchester last season. Maybe happier hunting grounds than u thought?

Well it's true that we've a 100% record at Colchester's new ground:smile:

With regard to Brighton, I'm not sure we've ever won at the Withdean. Also take a look at our away form...#-o

What OneNight says about points needed to avoid the drop is interesting. It's actually a fairly tight league this season, certainly around the bottom and that usually means more points are needed to stay up. Come April, we'll have a better idea of what's required to keep us up.

 

[NeverBeatDaveHiggins]

Today:

Exeter - 30
Gillingham - 29
Brighton - 28
Oldham - 26
Tranmere - 26
Wycombe - 23
Stockport - 16
​

Considering Barnes left us bottom with just 7 league points we're at least headed in the right direction. Two games in hand on Exeter and Hartlepool (31 points) means the great escape is still a possibility.

COME ON ROVERS!

 

[TheBunnyBellEnd]

NBDH we will stay up, and in the close season when the dust has settled we will all look back on what has happened this season smile and shake our heads.

Beat Oldham saturday and everything will start to look different.

sssssssssssssssssh you heard it here first!:-$

 

[Gray]

NBDH we will stay up, and in the close season when the dust has settled we will all look back on what has happened this season smile and shake our heads.

I really do hope so [-o<

 

[NeverBeatDaveHiggins]

sssssssssssssssssh you heard it here first!:-$

Commentator's curse!! Are you Andy Gray in disguise!?!? :lol:

 

[TheBunnyBellEnd]

Argh..........................!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:twisted:

 

[Davidchallinor]

With our excellence result tonight at Gillingham banishing the blues of saturday's defeat I've just had a look at my predictions for survive back in November. Back then I calculated what we had to do to get to 50 points. I've gone through our fixtures and updated it all and WE'RE RIGHT ON TRACK FOR 50 POINTS and hopefully safety IF we keep going ...heres what I wrote (I know we lost the Oldham game, but somewhere we've snuck in a result I didn't think we could!)

I would go with the philosophy of targeting 12 more victories and a handful (5 or 6) draws.... home wins v southend, brentford, carlisle, yeovil, oldham, orient, hartlepool, wycombe and exeter are all essential and will bring in 27 pts. I believe we can do a smash-and grab at gillingham, walsall and brentford, as most seasons we don't travel well, though that would be 9 more valuable points....so 36 gathered from the required 40...surely draws at prenton v Bristol Rovers, and millwall, and away to brighton and on the final day stockport might see us home, fingers crossed.

 

[Mal]

I'm confused - we have 29 points, so to get to 50 only requires another 21 points (7 victories) or were you referring to what was needed quite a few games back?

 

[Mal]

Ah... re-read it

 

[smilingmart]

I believe we can do a smash-and grab at gillingham

Me too, cos we did. Smash and grab, 3 points. Job done. \\/

 

[NeverBeatDaveHiggins]

League points earned by John B&rnes 7. League points earned by Les Parry (to date) 22.

Of course my very first post in this thread was prompted by our first win under Les, but even after that win we were stuck rock bottom and the fight we've shown already to get to where we are is simply outstanding. Long may our climb up the league continue!!

After Gillingham away:

Exeter - 31
Brighton - 30
Oldham - 29
Gillingham -29
Tranmere - 29
Wycome - 23
Stockport 16
​

One thing's for sure I'm going to be singing the great escape from now until we're either mathmatically down or perhaps mathmatically safe!!

 

[NeverBeatDaveHiggins]

Was going to post an updated bottom 7... but they realised we're not in the bottom 7!!!!


WOO HOO

Parry you LEGEND!



Thank God, John B&rnes has gone!!

 

[SCooperSomersaults]

The great escape is well and truly on, onwards and upwards by Les Parry! Get in! Oh damn, I just got a nose bleed, tissues anyone???

 

[Blue Lou]

I think TRFC will be relegated sadly.

 

[Rockford's Love Child]

Oldham 1 Brentford 3.

A bit of good news at last. :smile:

 

[Ian]

Dont speak to soon.. Oldham have scored another.

 

[Ian]

Oldham 2 Brentford 3.

OK, well that's a bit of good news for the night.

 

[bring back the cowshed!]

We could (and possibly should) have been clear of relegation by now but for the four matches without a win after Southampton and the three game run of defeats after the great Norwich win.

Now we have got to do what we have failed to do all season - win back-to-back league games. Then we have to hope that Exeter or Gillingham drop at least three points, Leyton Orient get no more than two draws or Yeovil lose both games.

On paper, our rivals have much easier matches against teams who don't need the points.

I am less optimistic than I have been all season, but the straws I am clinging to are:

1. Millwall need a win as much as we do, so the game should be open and full of chances. If we can get a good start, as we did against Norwich, we could do it.
2. On current form, we could lose easily both matches. But then, we must be the most unpredictable team in the league!

 

[OneNightInGayParis]

I am less optimistic than I have been all season, but the straws I am clinging to are:

1. Millwall need a win as much as we do, so the game should be open and full of chances. If we can get a good start, as we did against Norwich, we could do it.
2. On current form, we could lose easily both matches. But then, we must be the most unpredictable team in the league!

I think your second point is a bit harsh - on current form I find it difficult to believe that anybody should lose at Stockport!

I don't think that the run in is an easy one for Exeter and Gillingham at all:

EXETER - have only won twice away from home away to Hartlepool who still need points unless the ineligible player situation goes their way before kick off. Hartlepool to win. At home to a Huddersfield side who are second in the form league, scoring for fun and jockeying for a good play off position. Huddersfield win, possible draw.

GILLINGHAM - home to Southampton who are top of the form league. Draw at best. Away to Wycombe having not won an away game this season. Wycombe have proved they keep playing when all has looked lost so are unlikely to roll over even if they are already relegated. Wycombe win, possible draw.

I really think the odds are that at least one of these teams will fail to win either of their last 2 matches, losing at least one. That would mean that a draw against Millwall should set us up for the "must win" game at Stockport. I really don't think that we will end up needing to win BOTH the remaining games.

 

[bring back the cowshed!]

Believe me, I hope you are right ONIGP. We SHOULD be able to beat Stockport, but we did lose at home to them and to Wycombe. And our away record is atrocious. It depends all which Tranmere team turns up. If it's the "A" team (as v Southampton, Norwich) we'll be OK. If it's the "B" team (as v Wycombe, Brighton), we are doomed.